Do Government Guaranteed Small Business Loans Promote Economic Growth and Entrepreneurship?

نویسنده

  • Yong Suk Lee
چکیده

This paper examines the impact of government guaranteed small business loans on economic growth, and whether government guaranteed loans crowd out new businesses financed through the market. OLS estimates indicate a significant and positive relation between the Small Business Administration’s (SBA) guaranteed loans and metropolitan growth between 1993 and 2002. However, endogeneity hinders causal interpretation. In order to generate plausibly exogenous variation in SBA guaranteed loans, I use years since interstate banking deregulation and the historical density of SBA lenders in the metropolitan area as instrumental variables. Metropolitan areas that deregulated earlier see more market entrepreneurship and less SBA guaranteed loans. Areas with higher densities of SBA lenders in 1985 approve more SBA loans in 1993. Despite the strong first stage results, the 2SLS estimates show zero growth impact from SBA guaranteed loans. I further find that government-backed entrepreneurship crowds out market entrepreneurship one for one.

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تاریخ انتشار 2015